Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.075363 0.088911 0.104065 0.122253 0.143473 0.167432 0.196521
2025-05-25 0.052577 0.069503 0.090548 0.118566 0.154811 0.200039 0.260679
2025-06-01 0.040709 0.058807 0.083238 0.118466 0.167785 0.234178 0.330115
2025-06-08 0.032484 0.050540 0.076640 0.116850 0.176929 0.262987 0.395158
2025-06-15 0.027737 0.046013 0.074033 0.119721 0.191875 0.300822 0.476987
2025-06-22 0.023231 0.040858 0.069369 0.118309 0.199558 0.328174 0.545941
2025-06-29 0.019427 0.036071 0.064358 0.115267 0.203748 0.349991 0.608209
2025-07-06 0.016284 0.031816 0.059466 0.111474 0.205805 0.368081 0.665929
2025-07-13 0.014609 0.029902 0.058302 0.113908 0.218731 0.405681 0.760987
2025-07-20 0.012986 0.027790 0.056414 0.114643 0.228504 0.438628 0.851332
2025-07-27 0.011624 0.025955 0.054749 0.115487 0.238440 0.472770 0.947487
2025-08-03 0.010553 0.024537 0.053677 0.117292 0.250355 0.511762 1.056970
2025-08-10 0.009778 0.023663 0.053652 0.121368 0.267623 0.563586 1.198625
2025-08-17 0.008444 0.021301 0.050127 0.117533 0.268022 0.582002 1.275641
2025-08-24 0.007571 0.019865 0.048413 0.117398 0.276264 0.617312 1.391518
2025-08-31 0.006717 0.018318 0.046202 0.115790 0.280978 0.645601 1.495528
2025-09-07 0.006239 0.017635 0.045919 0.118634 0.296139 0.698103 1.658107
2025-09-14 0.005580 0.016360 0.043999 0.117234 0.301139 0.728494 1.774441
2025-09-21 0.004923 0.014970 0.041576 0.114218 0.301817 0.749021 1.870305
2025-09-28 0.004316 0.013608 0.039012 0.110459 0.300130 0.763754 1.954068
2025-10-05 0.004037 0.013150 0.038797 0.112871 0.314451 0.818383 2.139893
2025-10-12 0.003719 0.012517 0.038004 0.113600 0.324464 0.863520 2.307206
2025-10-19 0.003436 0.011942 0.037286 0.114436 0.334872 0.910765 2.484917